Sonntag, 17. April 2011

Changes in the Arab World

It is difficult to say what triggered the movement in the arab world. Could be the global communication, the social networks, Al-Jazeera, or Twitter, but the voices are up rising against oppression and dictator goverments. Nobody could predict that Mubarak regime would fall after the people united went to the streets, or Ben Ali and his familiy had to escape to an Oasis in the Gulf region. There are no revolutions without casualties, and now we are seeing the libyan people suffering the oppression of that villane of Gadhafi who shots agianst his people, it is a cruel civil war. It follows with the events in Syria and Bahrain.


Saudi Arabia supports the revels in Lybia, but also send troups to Bahrain to support the goverment to crush the civilians on the streets. The UNO is in permanent discussion, with all decisions and resolutions must be taken with all diplomatic rules.


Where will it bring us altogether ? Can we believe that democracy will finally arrive to to Middleast ? The Arab World is full of complexity. Nobody can change hundreds of years of tradition and rules, with monarchies like Saudis , Morrocan , Gulf sultans, which controls completely the lifes of the subdits, somehow full of corruption. Too many different sensibilities, too many different interests, different muslim branches, and too many hate. But there is also hope. There is also good people who claim for freedom and justice.


Hopefully Lybia and Syria will be set free from tyranny. It is unrealistic to think we will all live in peace in harmony, but who knows if a united Palestina will reach peace with Israel. What is clear for many of us is that after the eventual fall of Syria and Lybia, Iran is loosing allies, and sees is going to be pretty much alone in the region, and the oposition would regain strenght to confrontate against the regime of the Ayatollahs, not without blood which is very undesired. The still unresolved issues like Irak and Afghanistan are the biggest issue to solve for the western countries, so both the US and EU have an opportunity now to not interfere too much in these conflicts, but to provide assistance and advice if requested.


It is sure that without the social networks many of this revolutions wouldn't develop so quick, and this is a trend that will bring new changes in Asia and Africa.